Finance · Open for opinions
Will the 30-year US Treasury yield close above 5.5% on any day until October 31, 2026?
The 30-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since 2002 on 09/30/2026, reflecting persistent inflation pressure and… 72 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
The 30-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since 2002 on 09/30/2026, reflecting persistent inflation pressure and expectations of further Fed rate hikes, even after a more dovish remark from the New York Fed president.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve Sim se o rendimento de fechamento do Treasury de 30 anos (publicado diariamente em treasury.gov) atingir ou superar 5,5% em qualquer dia útil até 31/10/2026. Resolve Não caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.