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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged at the next FOMC meeting in November 2026?

As of 10/12/2026, traders priced in an 81% chance that the Fed would keep interest rates steady following the hike made the previous… 78 opinions, 81% Yes

  • Yes — 81%
  • No — 19%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

As of 10/12/2026, traders priced in an 81% chance that the Fed would keep interest rates steady following the hike made the previous month, with the dollar near an 18-month high.

Source: live.euronext.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar manutenção da taxa dos Fed Funds na reunião de novembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). 'Não' se houver corte ou aumento de juros.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 81% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 19 points, a wrong one costs about 81.

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