Science · Open for opinions
Will the journal Nature publish a peer-reviewed study with a new precision measurement in a thorium-229 nuclear clock by November 30, 2026?
Advances in thorium-229 nuclear clocks open a scientific race to establish the new global standard for time measurement. 81 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Advances in thorium-229 nuclear clocks open a scientific race to establish the new global standard for time measurement.
Source: www.nature.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 15/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a revista Nature publicar estudo revisado por pares contendo medição óptica de precisão em relógio nuclear baseado em tório-229 até 30/11/2026, verificável no site oficial nature.com. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.