Finance · Open for opinions
Will the accumulated IPCA for 2026 stay within the tolerance band of the inflation target set by the CMN?
Meeting the inflation target is one of the main indicators of credibility for Brazilian monetary policy and directly affects the… 79 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Meeting the inflation target is one of the main indicators of credibility for Brazilian monetary policy and directly affects the Central Bank's decisions regarding the Selic rate.
Source: agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve-se com o IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026 divulgado pelo IBGE (ibge.gov.br). A meta vigente e a banda de tolerância são as fixadas pelo Conselho Monetário Nacional (CMN) para 2026. Se o acumulado ficar entre o piso e o teto da banda, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.