Technology · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. state obtain a court injunction suspending Kalshi or Polymarket operations by December 31, 2026?
Republican and Democratic state attorneys general have filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, arguing that the platforms… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Republican and Democratic state attorneys general have filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, arguing that the platforms operate illegal sports betting. The judicial outcome is still pending.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer tribunal federal ou estadual dos EUA emitir uma liminar ou ordem judicial suspendendo total ou parcialmente as operações da Kalshi ou Polymarket em qualquer estado até 31/12/2026, conforme reportagem verificável em veículo de mídia de referência (NYT, Reuters, Bloomberg) ou comunicado oficial do tribunal. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.