Technology · Open for opinions
Will Mistral's ML4 model rank in the top 5 of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard by March 31, 2027?
In October 2026, Mistral launched the ML4 model, described by the company as the 'best open model in the world', claiming it is on… 81 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, Mistral launched the ML4 model, described by the company as the 'best open model in the world', claiming it is on par with leading closed systems in areas such as cyber defense and finance.
Source: www.cnnbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução 'Sim' se o modelo Mistral ML4 aparecer entre as 5 primeiras posições no ranking geral do LMSYS Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) em qualquer snapshot oficial publicado até 31/03/2027. Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.