Politics · Open for opinions
Will the 1st round leader win the 2026 Distrito Federal gubernatorial runoff?
Electoral history indicates a low probability of comebacks in state races with a margin greater than 10 points. 84 opinions, 71% Yes
- Yes — 71%
- No — 29%
Deadline: October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 84 opinions
Resolution rules
Electoral history indicates a low probability of comebacks in state races with a margin greater than 10 points.
Source: www.poder360.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o candidato que liderou o 1º turno na eleição para o governo do Distrito Federal for proclamado eleito no 2º turno pelo Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) até 26/10/2026, segundo a apuração e ata oficial do TSE. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.