Technology · Open for opinions
Which of the following organizations will be the first to publicly endorse Dario Amodei's proposal to slow down AI development by June 30, 2027?
Dario Amodei's letter (Anthropic) proposes a pause or reduction in the pace of AI advancement by the… 28 opinions, 86% None of the three by that date
- OpenAI — 7%
- Google DeepMind — 4%
- Meta AI — 4%
- None of the three by that date — 86%
Deadline: March 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
Dario Amodei's letter (Anthropic) proposes a pause or reduction in the pace of AI advancement by the industry's leading companies; debate over existential risk exceeding 10% gains public traction.
Source: epocanegocios.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução pela primeira empresa que publicar declaração oficial (blog, comunicado à imprensa ou SEC filing) comprometendo-se a desacelerar o desenvolvimento de novas capacidades de IA, citando riscos existenciais ou a proposta de Amodei. Se nenhuma das três o fizer até 2027-06-30, resolve como 'Nenhuma das três até essa data'. Fontes: sites oficiais das empresas.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now None of the three by that date has 86% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 14 points, a wrong one costs about 86.