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Science · Open for opinions

Will any NASA or ESA space mission announce the detection of complex organic molecules on a celestial body beyond Earth by February 2027?

Various space missions are underway in the search for life beyond Earth. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Various space missions are underway in the search for life beyond Earth. Advances in astrochemistry and instrumentation increase the likelihood of relevant announcements in the near horizon.

Source: www.ctpost.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se NASA ou ESA publicarem comunicado oficial ou artigo em revista científica confirmando detecção de moléculas orgânicas complexas (ex.: aminoácidos, lipídeos ou equivalentes) em planeta, lua ou asteróide fora da Terra, até 2027-02-28. Fonte: press releases oficiais da NASA (nasa.gov) ou ESA (esa.int).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will any NASA or ESA space mission announce the detection of complex… — 50% Yes · VoxFi