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Science · Open for opinions

Will the BepiColombo mission successfully complete its final orbital insertion around Mercury by December 31, 2026?

On September 3, 2026, ESA and JAXA announced the start of BepiColombo's arrival phase at Mercury, with the first critical step… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

On September 3, 2026, ESA and JAXA announced the start of BepiColombo's arrival phase at Mercury, with the first critical step completed. The final orbital insertion is still ongoing.

Source: www.esa.int

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução 'Sim' se a ESA ou JAXA confirmarem oficialmente, em comunicado público em esa.int ou jaxa.jp, que a BepiColombo realizou com sucesso a manobra de captura orbital em Mercúrio antes de 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the BepiColombo mission successfully complete its final orbital… — 50% Yes · VoxFi