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Will Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” sell for at least $225m at auction?

Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” (Lot 5) is expected to be sold at Sotheby's Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection… 89 opinions, 69% No

  • Yes — 31%
  • No — 69%

Deadline: November 19, 2026 at 04:59 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” (Lot 5) is expected to be sold at Sotheby's Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection Evening Auction on November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$150m".

The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sotheby's (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/legendary-the-blaquier-arrieta-collection-evening-auction/vincent-van-gogh-chataigner-en-fleurs-roses-et).

Source: polymarket.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.

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