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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the commercial dollar (PTAX) close above R$ 6.20 at least once by November 30, 2026?

Political coverage in November 2026 highlights fiscal uncertainties and tensions between the Branches of Government, factors that… 89 opinions, 58% Yes

  • Yes — 58%
  • No — 42%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

Political coverage in November 2026 highlights fiscal uncertainties and tensions between the Branches of Government, factors that historically pressure the exchange rate in Brazil.

Source: www.estadao.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base na cotação de fechamento PTAX do dólar comercial divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br). Se em qualquer dia útil de novembro de 2026 a PTAX de venda fechar acima de R$ 6,20, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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