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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at its upcoming FOMC meeting in November or December 2026?

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh reaffirmed the focus on price stability but avoided signaling the next rate decision. 81 opinions, 58% No

  • Yes — 42%
  • No — 58%

Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh reaffirmed the focus on price stability but avoided signaling the next rate decision. 2-year Treasury yields rose to 4.92% following higher-than-expected inflation data, indicating rising market expectations.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar elevação da taxa dos fed funds na reunião de novembro ou, caso não haja em novembro, na de dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Fed em federalreserve.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at its upcoming FOMC… — 58% No · VoxFi