Science · Open for opinions
Which global climate model will be most cited in publications on co-benefits of nitrogen management by February 2027?
Study published in Nature (2026) used ensemble simulations with the GISS and CESM models… 20 opinions, 25% GISS (NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies)
- GISS (NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies) — 25%
- CESM (Community Earth System Model) — 25%
- Both equally cited — 25%
- Other model — 25%
Deadline: February 18, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Study published in Nature (2026) used ensemble simulations with the GISS and CESM models to assess co-benefits of reactive nitrogen management on air quality and global climate.
Source: www.nature.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em análise bibliométrica no Google Scholar ou Web of Science contando citações de artigos sobre 'nitrogen management air quality climate' publicados entre agosto de 2026 e fevereiro de 2027 que mencionem GISS ou CESM como modelo principal. Fonte de referência: Nature npj Climate and Atmospheric Science.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now GISS (NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies) has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.