Science · Open for opinions
Will the Japanese MMX probe successfully complete its initial cruise phase (first 6 months after launch) toward Mars without critical technical anomalies?
Japan's MMX (Mars Moons Exploration) mission was launched on October 19, 2026, with the historic goal of studying Mars' moons —… 82 opinions, 82% Yes
- Yes — 82%
- No — 18%
Deadline: April 19, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions
Resolution rules
Japan's MMX (Mars Moons Exploration) mission was launched on October 19, 2026, with the historic goal of studying Mars' moons — Phobos and Deimos — landing on Phobos, collecting rock material, and returning the samples to Earth. It is the first round-trip mission to Mars.
Source: www.livescience.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base em comunicados oficiais da JAXA (Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency). O mercado resolve 'Sim' se a JAXA não reportar nenhuma anomalia técnica crítica que comprometa a missão nos primeiros 6 meses após o lançamento em 19 de outubro de 2026 (ou seja, até 19 de abril de 2027). Em caso de silêncio oficial sem reportagem de falha, resolve 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 82% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 18 points, a wrong one costs about 82.