Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case related to the regulation of prediction markets by March 2027?
Kalshi and Polymarket face increasing regulatory scrutiny, and a bipartisan group of U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket face increasing regulatory scrutiny, and a bipartisan group of U.S. states is disputing with federal authorities over jurisdiction to regulate these platforms, bringing the debate closer to the Supreme Court.
Source: www.ketk.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Supremo Tribunal dos Estados Unidos (U.S. Supreme Court) emitir ordem formal de certiorari aceitando caso diretamente relacionado à regulação de plataformas de mercados de previsão (como Kalshi ou Polymarket) até 07/03/2027, conforme registros oficiais do SCOTUS (supremecourt.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.