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Technology · Open for opinions

Will OpenAI reach a market valuation of US$ 1 trillion by December 31, 2026?

OpenAI is currently valued at US$ 852 billion. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

OpenAI is currently valued at US$ 852 billion. The market is closely watching whether the company will surpass the US$ 1 trillion mark, becoming one of the most valuable startups in history.

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a OpenAI fechar uma rodada de investimento ou transação secundária que atribua à empresa avaliação igual ou superior a US$ 1 trilhão até 31/12/2026, conforme confirmado por comunicado oficial da OpenAI ou cobertura de fontes financeiras primárias (Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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