Politics · Open for opinions
Will the total betting volume in prediction markets on the 2026 US midterm elections exceed $500 million before election day?
Recent data shows $197 million in volume across 1,408 open markets on the midterms on Kalshi and Polymarket, with the election in… 21 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Recent data shows $197 million in volume across 1,408 open markets on the midterms on Kalshi and Polymarket, with the election in November 2026.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se Kalshi, Polymarket ou relatório jornalístico verificável (ex: Reuters, Bloomberg) confirmar volume agregado superior a US$ 500 milhões em mercados de previsão relacionados aos midterms 2026 até 02/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.