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Finance · Open for opinions

What will be Brazil's GDP growth range in 2026, according to IBGE?

The Brazilian government reduced its GDP projection to 2.0% in 2026, acknowledging a slowdown after 1.1% growth… 62 opinions, 42% Between 1.5% and 1.99%

  • Below 1.5% — 18%
  • Between 1.5% and 1.99% — 42%
  • 2.0% or more — 40%

Deadline: March 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 62 opinions

Resolution rules

The Brazilian government reduced its GDP projection to 2.0% in 2026, acknowledging a slowdown after 1.1% growth in the first quarter of the year. Market analysts and the Ministry of Finance itself signal uncertainty over whether the target will be met.

Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na divulgação oficial do IBGE (ibge.gov.br) com resultado do crescimento do PIB acumulado em 2026, esperada no primeiro trimestre de 2027. A opção vencedora corresponde à faixa que contiver o número divulgado.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Between 1.5% and 1.99% has 42% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 58 points, a wrong one costs about 42.

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