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Politics · Open for opinions

Will Mitch McConnell leave the US Senate before the end of his term (January 2027)?

Polymarket lists an active market on McConnell's possible early resignation from the Senate before the end of his term, reflecting… 37 opinions, 70% No

  • Yes — 30%
  • No — 70%

Deadline: January 3, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions

Resolution rules

Polymarket lists an active market on McConnell's possible early resignation from the Senate before the end of his term, reflecting speculation about his health and willingness to complete the term.

Source: polymarket.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se McConnell apresentar formalmente sua renúncia ao cargo de senador antes de 3 de janeiro de 2027, conforme registro oficial do Senado dos EUA ou anúncio do próprio senador. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.

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Will Mitch McConnell leave the US Senate before the end of his term… — 70% No · VoxFi