Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $50 billion in 2026?
According to a recent report, the two leading prediction markets went from less than $5 billion to around $24 billion in volume in… 28 opinions, 61% No
- Yes — 39%
- No — 61%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
According to a recent report, the two leading prediction markets went from less than $5 billion to around $24 billion in volume in less than a year. The accelerated growth trajectory raises the question of whether they will double again by the end of 2026.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolúvel com base nos dados públicos de volume de negociação reportados pelas próprias plataformas Kalshi (kalshi.com) e Polymarket (polymarket.com), ou por cobertura jornalística de publicações como Fortune ou The Week citando dados oficiais das plataformas referentes ao ano calendário de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.