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Science · Open for opinions

What will be the official conclusion of NASA researchers about the cause of the polygonal fractures found by Curiosity on Mars?

In September 2026, the Curiosity rover revealed an extensive field of polygonal fractures on… 20 opinions, 20% Cycles of freezing and thawing of water/ice

  • Cycles of freezing and thawing of water/ice — 20%
  • Desiccation of ancient mud or sediment — 20%
  • Extreme temperature variations (thermal expansion/contraction) — 20%
  • Martian tectonic activity — 20%
  • Another cause or inconclusive — 20%

Deadline: March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

In September 2026, the Curiosity rover revealed an extensive field of polygonal fractures on Mars. The origin of the structures is being investigated by comparing images and chemical analysis, with no conclusion announced so far.

Source: scienceblog.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na primeira publicação científica oficial da NASA ou JPL (nasa.gov/jpl.nasa.gov) ou artigo revisado por pares citado pela NASA que apresente conclusão sobre a origem das fraturas poligonais detectadas pelo Curiosity em 2026. Caso nenhuma publicação seja feita até 07/03/2027, o mercado resolve como 'Outra causa ou inconclusivo'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Cycles of freezing and thawing of water/ice has 20% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 80 points, a wrong one costs about 20.

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