Politics · Open for opinions
Will any G7 country pass federal legislation formally regulating prediction market platforms by March 2027?
Analysis of global search data published in September 2026 shows that attempts to ban platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have the… 25 opinions, 76% No
- Yes — 24%
- No — 76%
Deadline: March 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
Analysis of global search data published in September 2026 shows that attempts to ban platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have the opposite effect to the one intended, increasing interest, which pressures lawmakers to formalize regulation.
Source: markets.businessinsider.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o parlamento ou congresso de pelo menos um país membro do G7 (EUA, Canadá, Reino Unido, Alemanha, França, Itália, Japão) aprovar lei sancionada pelo chefe de governo que regule especificamente plataformas de mercados de previsão de eventos (prediction markets) até 31/03/2027. Fonte: Diário Oficial ou equivalente do país em questão.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 76% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 24 points, a wrong one costs about 76.