Science · Open for opinions
Will 2026 be classified by NASA or NOAA as the hottest year on record?
The topic of climate and climate science is highlighted in major scientific publications. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The topic of climate and climate science is highlighted in major scientific publications. The sequence of global temperature records in recent years makes it relevant to track whether 2026 will surpass previous years.
Source: apnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução: verificar relatório anual de temperatura global da NASA (GISS Surface Temperature Analysis) ou da NOAA publicado até 28/02/2027. Se o relatório classificar 2026 como o ano de maior temperatura média global já registrado, resolve Sim; caso contrário, Não.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.