Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC issue a formal sanction against incentives for Kalshi participants by November 30, 2026?
Monitors the outcome of regulatory investigations into derivatives promotions between 10/21 and 11/30 [3]. 85 opinions, 69% No
- Yes — 31%
- No — 69%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
Monitors the outcome of regulatory investigations into derivatives promotions between 10/21 and 11/30 [3].
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 21/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a CFTC emitir ordem de cessação, multa ou ação de execução formal contra práticas promocionais da Kalshi até 30/11/2026, conforme divulgado em comunicado oficial no portal cftc.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.