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Technology · Open for opinions

What will be Anthropic's market cap on its IPO day?

Anthropic's S-1, released in October 2026, reveals compute commitments of over $100 billion and revenue of $16.29… 87 opinions, 60% Above $100 billion

  • Less than $50 billion — 8%
  • Between $50 billion and $100 billion — 32%
  • Above $100 billion — 60%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

Anthropic's S-1, released in October 2026, reveals compute commitments of over $100 billion and revenue of $16.29 billion in the first half of 2026. The corporate structure grants voting control to the seven founders.

Source: imasters.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução pela capitalização de mercado da Anthropic calculada com base no preço de fechamento do primeiro dia de negociação, conforme reportado por fontes financeiras oficiais como NYSE/NASDAQ, Bloomberg ou Reuters. Caso o IPO não ocorra até 31 de março de 2027, o mercado é cancelado.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Above $100 billion has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.

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