Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi and Polymarket contracts be legally recognized as 'financial instruments' (and not gambling bets) by the US judicial system?
Article from 09/07/2026 by Law.com directly debates whether Kalshi and Polymarket are… 21 opinions, 33% Yes, recognized as federal financial instruments
- Yes, recognized as federal financial instruments — 33%
- No, classified as bets/gambling — 33%
- Partial or undecided decision by the date — 33%
Deadline: March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Article from 09/07/2026 by Law.com directly debates whether Kalshi and Polymarket are 'gambling' or 'financial instruments', a central issue for the regulation of the sector in the US.
Source: www.law.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em decisão definitiva publicada pelo SCOTUS ou tribunal federal de última instância sobre a natureza jurídica dos contratos de mercados de previsão da Kalshi e/ou Polymarket. Fonte: SCOTUSblog, decisões oficiais dos tribunais federais.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes, recognized as federal financial instruments has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.