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Technology · Open for opinions

Will any major AI lab (OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Meta AI, or Anthropic) announce a formal licensing agreement for literary collections for model training by December 2026?

AI labs face a shortage of quality textual data and are resorting to purchasing physical books on a large scale to train models,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

AI labs face a shortage of quality textual data and are resorting to purchasing physical books on a large scale to train models, raising questions about copyright and formal licensing of literary content.

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos uma das quatro empresas citadas divulgar publicamente, via comunicado oficial ou registro regulatório, acordo de licenciamento remunerado com editoras ou distribuidoras de livros para uso de conteúdo em treinamento de IA até 31/12/2026. Verificável por press release das empresas ou cobertura jornalística especializada (The Verge, TechCrunch, Reuters). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will any major AI lab (OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Meta AI, or… — 50% Yes · VoxFi