World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once before the end of 2026?
Trump publicly pressured the Fed via Truth Social to cut rates, threatening to suspend trade relations with countries if the central… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump publicly pressured the Fed via Truth Social to cut rates, threatening to suspend trade relations with countries if the central bank does not act. Reuters and CNBC report growing tension between the White House and the Fed.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na decisão oficial publicada pelo Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) nas reuniões do FOMC restantes em 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a taxa dos fed funds for reduzida em ao menos 0,25 p.p. em relação ao nível de 2026-09-08.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.