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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil's general government gross debt exceed 85% of GDP by March 2027?

Moody's highlighted in October 2026 that the general government gross debt has already reached around 83% of GDP, with an upward… 87 opinions, 57% No

  • Yes — 43%
  • No — 57%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

Moody's highlighted in October 2026 that the general government gross debt has already reached around 83% of GDP, with an upward trajectory and no prospect of fiscal adjustment in the short term, according to the government.

Source: www.jota.info

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How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base nos dados oficiais do Tesouro Nacional publicados no relatório 'Resultado do Tesouro Nacional' ou no boletim de Dívida Pública Federal, disponível em tesourotransparente.tesouro.gov.br. Considera-se o dado de competência referente a qualquer mês até março de 2027 inclusive.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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