Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's gross public debt exceed 85% of GDP by the end of 2026?
In August 2026, gross public debt reached a record 83% of GDP, with the risk of worsening by nearly R$ 300 billion in fiscal… 86 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, gross public debt reached a record 83% of GDP, with the risk of worsening by nearly R$ 300 billion in fiscal measures, according to Folha de S.Paulo.
Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base nos dados de dívida pública bruta do setor público consolidado divulgados pelo Banco Central do Brasil ou pelo Tesouro Nacional referentes ao mês de dezembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se qualquer leitura oficial publicada até 31/01/2027 registrar valor igual ou superior a 85% do PIB.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.