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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the US Federal Reserve raise interest rates in the fourth quarter of 2026?

The possibility of a US interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve has entered the radar of Brazilian economists and investors,… 37 opinions, 68% No

  • Yes — 32%
  • No — 68%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions

Resolution rules

The possibility of a US interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve has entered the radar of Brazilian economists and investors, impacting the exchange rate and foreign capital flows to Brazil amid the STF crisis.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na decisão oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) publicada em federalreserve.gov. Resolve 'Sim' se houver pelo menos um aumento da taxa de juros americana entre 01/10/2026 e 31/12/2026, 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.

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