Politics · Open for opinions
Will Democrats win control of both the US House and Senate in the 2026 elections?
Contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket point to a greater than 60% probability of a Democratic victory in both Houses. 79 opinions, 62% Yes
- Yes — 62%
- No — 38%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket point to a greater than 60% probability of a Democratic victory in both Houses.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Partido Democrata vencer a maioria dos assentos tanto na Câmara dos Deputados quanto no Senado dos Estados Unidos nas eleições de 03/11/2026, com resultado oficialmente certificado e confirmado por AP, Reuters ou autoridades eleitorais estaduais até 15/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.