Finance · Open for opinions
Will the total trading volume in prediction markets (Kalshi + Polymarket combined) exceed US$ 30 billion by the end of 2026?
According to Fast Company, the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket jumped from less than US$ 5 billion to about US$ 24 billion… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to Fast Company, the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket jumped from less than US$ 5 billion to about US$ 24 billion in less than a year, signaling accelerated growth in the prediction market sector.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se relatórios jornalísticos confiáveis (Bloomberg, Fast Company, Reuters) ou dados públicos divulgados pelos próprios Kalshi e Polymarket confirmarem que o volume combinado das duas plataformas superou US$ 30 bilhões em 2026. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário ou na ausência de dado confirmado até 2026-12-28.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.