Technology · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi or Polymarket win any lawsuit filed by U.S. states by December 31, 2026?
In August 2026, Republican and Democratic states joined forces in lawsuits against prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, Republican and Democratic states joined forces in lawsuits against prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, setting up a far-reaching legal battle in the U.S.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se qualquer tribunal estadual dos EUA emitir decisão final favorável à Kalshi ou Polymarket em algum dos processos mencionados, confirmado por anúncio oficial das empresas ou cobertura de veículo jornalístico de referência (Reuters, AP, NYT) até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.