Technology · Open for opinions
Which company will have the top-ranked artificial intelligence model in major rankings at the end of 2026?
The market 'Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?' is one of the most popular on Kalshi in September 2026,… 71 opinions, 21% OpenAI
- OpenAI — 21%
- Google / DeepMind — 20%
- Anthropic — 20%
- Meta — 20%
- Other company — 20%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
The market 'Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?' is one of the most popular on Kalshi in September 2026, reflecting the intense competition among major AI labs.
Source: milehighsports.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no ranking líder do benchmark LMSYS Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) ou equivalente amplamente reconhecido em 31 de dezembro de 2026. Em caso de divergência entre benchmarks, prevalece o LMSYS Chatbot Arena.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now OpenAI has 21% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 79 points, a wrong one costs about 21.