Finance · Open for opinions
What will be the primary result of the Brazilian central government for the accumulated period of 2026, according to official data?
The public accounts of the federal government are under debate, with recent data indicating pressure… 89 opinions, 35% Deficit between 0.5% and 1% of GDP
- Deficit above 1% of GDP — 30%
- Deficit between 0.5% and 1% of GDP — 35%
- Deficit below 0.5% of GDP — 25%
- Zero result or surplus — 10%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
The public accounts of the federal government are under debate, with recent data indicating pressure on the fiscal result amid the growth of public debt and the deficit of federal state-owned enterprises.
Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada no Resultado do Tesouro Nacional (RTN) referente ao exercício de 2026, publicado pelo Tesouro Nacional. O intervalo é determinado pelo resultado primário do governo central (Tesouro, Previdência e Banco Central) em proporção ao PIB oficial do IBGE para 2026. Caso o RTN de dezembro de 2026 seja divulgado antes de 28/02/2027, essa publicação prevalece.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Deficit between 0.5% and 1% of GDP has 35% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 65 points, a wrong one costs about 35.