Finance · Open for opinions
Will individual default rates in revolving credit cards exceed 66.5% in the BCB report for September 2026?
After hitting an all-time high of 66.2% in August, the financial market is monitoring whether revolving credit card defaults will… 73 opinions, 58% Yes
- Yes — 58%
- No — 42%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 73 opinions
Resolution rules
After hitting an all-time high of 66.2% in August, the financial market is monitoring whether revolving credit card defaults will set a new record in the official September data.
Source: valor.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 30/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Nota de Estatísticas Monetárias e de Crédito do Banco Central (referente a setembro/2026) registrar inadimplência de pessoas físicas no rotativo do cartão acima de 66,5% até 31/10/2026, em bcb.gov.br. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.