Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA confirm active El Niño conditions in the Eastern Pacific Ocean for the October-December 2026 quarter?
In September 2026, satellite images detected elevated sea surface temperatures in the Eastern Pacific, signaling the onset of an El… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, satellite images detected elevated sea surface temperatures in the Eastern Pacific, signaling the onset of an El Niño event, as reported by Science News in the September 2026 edition.
Source: www.sciencenews.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada no boletim oficial do NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) referente ao trimestre outubro-novembro-dezembro de 2026, publicado até 30 de novembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o CPC classificar formalmente o evento como El Niño ativo na região do Pacífico Oriental Equatorial.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.