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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Federal Reserve adopt formal changes to its 2% inflation target based on the recommendations of the task force led by Mankiw, Sargent, and White by December 2026?

The Federal Reserve's inflation policy review task force, led by economists Greg Mankiw, Thomas Sargent, and William White, may… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The Federal Reserve's inflation policy review task force, led by economists Greg Mankiw, Thomas Sargent, and William White, may influence the U.S. central bank's framework for combating inflation.

Source: www.wsj.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Fed anunciar oficialmente alteração na meta de inflação de 2% em comunicado, ata ou declaração pós-reunião do FOMC até 31/12/2026. Fonte: site oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the Federal Reserve adopt formal changes to its 2% inflation… — 50% Yes · VoxFi