Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil record a deficit in the consolidated public sector primary result at the end of 2026?
The Brazilian fiscal account remains heavy in 2026, with a direct impact on the interest rate curve. 28 opinions, 61% Yes
- Yes — 61%
- No — 39%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
The Brazilian fiscal account remains heavy in 2026, with a direct impact on the interest rate curve. The debate over compliance with the fiscal target is central to the financial market.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada no relatório oficial do resultado primário do setor público consolidado de 2026 divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br) ou Tesouro Nacional (tesouro.fazenda.gov.br). Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o resultado for negativo (déficit), 'Não' se for zero ou superávit.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.