Science · Open for opinions
Will the 2026 El Niño be classified by NOAA as the most intense ever recorded historically?
Recent reports indicate that the 2026 El Niño is intensifying and may surpass historical records. 28 opinions, 64% No
- Yes — 36%
- No — 64%
Deadline: March 12, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
Recent reports indicate that the 2026 El Niño is intensifying and may surpass historical records. NOAA officially monitors and classifies the intensity of ENSO events.
Source: www.wired.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se a NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) publicar relatório oficial até 12/03/2027 classificando o evento El Niño de 2026 como o mais forte já documentado em seu índice histórico (ENSO). Fonte: relatórios ENSO da NOAA em climate.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.