Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CVM or the Ministry of Finance issue an opinion on prediction platforms in Brazil by 11/30/2026?
Maps the possibility of specific Brazilian regulation for the expanding sector. 81 opinions, 75% No
- Yes — 25%
- No — 75%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Maps the possibility of specific Brazilian regulation for the expanding sector.
Source: previsao.io
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 17/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a CVM ou a Secretaria de Prêmios e palpites do Ministério da Fazenda publicarem parecer de orientação ou norma sobre prediction markets até 30/11/2026, conforme Diário Oficial da União (DOU) ou site da autarquia. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.