Technology · Open for opinions
Will Polymarket obtain regulatory approval to operate legally in the United States by February 2027?
Polymarket operates with great global liquidity but faces legal restrictions in the US, while Kalshi already has regulatory status… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket operates with great global liquidity but faces legal restrictions in the US, while Kalshi already has regulatory status recognized by the CFTC, making the regulatory dispute a central theme in 2026.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) ou outra autoridade regulatória federal dos EUA emitir licença ou aprovação formal ao Polymarket para operação no país até 28/02/2027, conforme comunicado oficial em cftc.gov ou press release verificável do Polymarket. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.