Politics · Open for opinions
Who will lead the Polymarket odds for the Democratic presidential nomination in the US in 2028, on November 30, 2026?
In August 2026, the Polymarket market for the 2028 Democratic nomination had no clear favorite: AOC led with… 20 opinions, 20% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — 20%
- Jon Ossoff — 20%
- Gavin Newsom — 20%
- Kamala Harris — 20%
- Another candidate — 20%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, the Polymarket market for the 2028 Democratic nomination had no clear favorite: AOC led with 21%, followed by Ossoff (15%), Newsom (14%), and Harris (7%). It is one of the most active political markets on the platform.
Source: www.oregonlive.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no candidato que apresentar o maior percentual de probabilidade no mercado oficial de indicação democrata à presidência em 2028 do Polymarket (polymarket.com) exatamente em 30/11/2026 às 23h59 UTC. Em caso de empate técnico (diferença ≤ 0,1 pp), resolve 'Outro candidato'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has 20% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 80 points, a wrong one costs about 20.