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Science · Open for opinions

Will the 2026 El Niño be classified by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) as the strongest ever recorded?

According to Wired, the 2026 El Niño is shaping up to be the strongest ever recorded, with experts describing what to expect from the… 29 opinions, 62% No

  • Yes — 38%
  • No — 62%

Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 29 opinions

Resolution rules

According to Wired, the 2026 El Niño is shaping up to be the strongest ever recorded, with experts describing what to expect from the climate phenomenon.

Source: www.wired.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Declaração oficial da Organização Meteorológica Mundial (OMM/WMO) classificando o El Niño de 2026 como o evento mais intenso já registrado em seus índices padrão (ENSO). A resolução será baseada no relatório climático oficial da OMM publicado até março de 2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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Will the 2026 El Niño be classified by the World Meteorological… — 62% No · VoxFi