Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC maintain exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, preventing state regulation?
The 3rd Circuit voted 2-1 to block New Jersey from applying betting laws against Kalshi, indicating that the CFTC would be the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The 3rd Circuit voted 2-1 to block New Jersey from applying betting laws against Kalshi, indicating that the CFTC would be the competent regulator. States and the Trump administration itself are on opposite sides of the debate.
Source: www.keloland.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se, até a data de fechamento, nenhuma lei estadual for aplicada com sucesso contra Kalshi ou Polymarket em decorrência de decisão judicial federal reconhecendo exclusividade da CFTC. Fonte: decisões publicadas pelo 3º Circuito, SCOTUS ou CFTC.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.