Politics · Open for opinions
Will there be a US federal government shutdown before December 31, 2026?
Polymarket lists active markets on a US government shutdown, indicating that the topic remains open and with high liquidity in the… 29 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 29 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket lists active markets on a US government shutdown, indicating that the topic remains open and with high liquidity in the Politics/Gov category.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o governo federal americano entrar em paralisação parcial ou total (shutdown) em qualquer momento até 31/12/2026, confirmado por declaração oficial do Office of Management and Budget (OMB) ou por cobertura verificada de veículos como Reuters ou AP.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.