Finance · Open for opinions
Will the crisis in the STF prevent the approval of priority items of the government's fiscal agenda in Congress until December 2026?
Citi analysts warn that the crisis in the STF represents the main risk of stalling the fiscal agenda in Congress, in a scenario where… 44 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 44 opinions
Resolution rules
Citi analysts warn that the crisis in the STF represents the main risk of stalling the fiscal agenda in Congress, in a scenario where public debt is growing 3-4 p.p. of GDP per year.
Source: www.estadao.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos dois itens centrais da agenda fiscal do governo federal (conforme declarações oficiais do Ministério da Fazenda ou do Planalto) não forem votados pelo Congresso até 31/12/2026, sendo atribuído publicamente à crise do STF por líderes do Congresso ou pelo próprio governo. Fonte: declarações oficiais, Diário Oficial e noticiário de veículos como Valor Econômico e Folha de S.Paulo.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.