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What will be the Fed's decision on interest rates by the end of November 2026?
Warsh signaled in Jackson Hole that rate hikes are possible if persistent inflation does not ease. 21 opinions, 33% Raise rates at least once
- Raise rates at least once — 33%
- Keep rates unchanged at all meetings — 33%
- Cut rates at least once — 33%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Warsh signaled in Jackson Hole that rate hikes are possible if persistent inflation does not ease. PCE inflation is at 3.7% and CPI rose 4.2% in May, both well above the Fed's 2% target.
Source: www.lemonde.fr
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base nos comunicados oficiais das reuniões do FOMC de setembro e novembro de 2026, disponíveis em federalreserve.gov. Considera-se o conjunto das decisões tomadas nessas duas reuniões no período.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Raise rates at least once has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.